2006-07-12

Afternoon Roundup

ITM: "They want a war and I think they're going to get one."
I don't know for sure what made Hizbollah do what they did this morning but I can make some guesses starting from the fact that Iran, Syria, Hamas and Hizbollah collectively form one big axis of evil in the Middle East with connected interests and shared goals so the abduction of the two Israeli soldiers looks like an act planned to serve the interests of the members of the axis without the least regard to the harm it can bring upon Lebanon.

For example, the foreign ministers of the 5 UNSC countries and Germany were meeting today to discuss how to respond to Iran's position regarding the nuclear issue, so this could be an attempt to distract the international community and especially Israel and America from the Iranian nuclear threat. And if that's the case, then their plan has just failed. But this will also mean they (the axis) will try other measures and will cause more trouble to distract the international community from focusing on the Iranian nuclear threat. ...

Iran to get Security Council referral.
The six nations trying to persuade Iran to give up its nuclear program will refer the case back to the U.N. Security Council, France's foreign minister said Wednesday after closed-door talks.

"We have no choice but to return to the Security Council and continue the process suspended two months ago," Philippe Douste-Blazy told reporters after talks in Paris with counterparts from the United States, Britain, Russia, China and Germany.


Recommended reading: Go spend some time reading Michael Totten's May and June archives. Michael's not posting right now, but keep an eye on his Middle East Journal for Israel/Lebanon developments; I'm sure he'll have lots to say.